Dashboard — 2026–27

Net margin by paddock ($/Ha)

Annual obligations

Crop summary

Crop	Ha	Avg yield	Price	Profitable	Total net

Grain marketing — 2026–27

Track forward contracts, hedges and your position against MCE for each commodity.

Wheat

Lentils

Canola

Barley

Price deciles

Historical prices

Carry cost

Gross margins

Live grain prices — change any price to instantly recalculate all margins

All paddocks — 2026 season

Paddock	Crop	Ha	Yield T/Ha	Price $/T	Gross margin	Var cost/Ha	Net/Ha	Net total	Result

Paddock editor

Add, edit or remove paddocks. Click a paddock row to edit its variable cost breakdown in detail.

Add paddock

Name

Crop

Ha

Yield (T/Ha)

Variable cost/Ha ($)

Lease cost/Ha ($)

Land debt schedule

Add loan

Entity

Description

Balance ($)

Rate (%)

Due date

Machinery costs

Annual cost by operation

Machinery debt schedule

Entity	Equipment	2026	2027	2028	2029

Cost per Ha / unit by operation — full workings

Lease schedule

All leases

Property	Lessor	Rate $/Ha	Ha	Annual	Payments	Expiry	Status

Council rates

Vehicle registrations

Monthly cashflow 2026

All vehicles

Plate	Vehicle	Entity	Type	Expiry	Renewal	Total $

Prices & costs

All prices here flow through to the input cost breakdown in every paddock. Change a chemical price and it updates every paddock that uses it.

Grain prices ($/T)

Chemicals

Fertilisers

Seed

Operations

Levies & other

Edit any price below and click Save — all paddock input cost breakdowns will recalculate automatically.

2026 Rainfall log

Date	mm	Running total	Notes

Historical yields (T/Ha)

Farm average yields by crop across all years, plus per-paddock breakdown for 2025 and 2026.

Rainfall & Yield Analysis

96 years of Paracowie Farm rainfall data (1930–2025). WUE model: Wheat = 0.01984 × GS PAW | Lentil = 0.00992 × GS PAW

Long-run avg

442mm

30yr rolling avg

420mm

Rainfall trend

−5.7mm/decade

2024 (record dry)

200mm

2025

435mm

2026 consensus forecast: 437mm — wheat projection 7.1 t/Ha, lentil 3.6 t/Ha. April rain has declined 31% since the 1970s — the most significant structural change. June is the strongest yield predictor (r=0.58).

Annual rainfall

Monthly profile

Decadal trends

Yield model

2026 outlook

Rainfall log

Annual rainfall 1930–2025 with 10-year moving average

Recent decade (2015–2025)

Average monthly rainfall (long-run)

Monthly correlation with wheat yield

Key correlation findings

Month	Correlation (r)	Significance	Implication
June	0.58	p<0.01	Strongest single monthly predictor
September	0.54	p<0.01	Grain fill — critical for final yield
May	0.51	p<0.01	Every extra 10mm in May ≈ +0.10 t/Ha wheat
August	0.38	p<0.01	Head emergence support
July	0.37	p<0.01	Tillering and canopy development
April	0.33	p<0.01	Pre-season PAW recharge — declining 31% since 1970s
Jan–Mar / Nov–Dec	~0.00	Not sig.	Summer rain does not carry to yield

Decadal average rainfall

Dry year frequency per decade (<350mm)

Dry year frequency has doubled: 1.5 dry years/decade pre-2000 → 3.0/decade in the 2000s–2010s. April rainfall down 31% since 1976 (38.8mm → 26.9mm). Long-run averages projected to reach ~400mm by the 2040s.

WUE yield calculator — enter your rainfall forecast

Annual rainfall (mm)

GS PAW (mm) — auto: rainfall × 0.819

WUE model calibrated to farm benchmarks: 6.50 t/Ha wheat and 3.25 t/Ha lentil at 400mm annual rainfall. Actual yields depend on variety, nutrition, disease pressure and management.

Yield scenarios by rainfall outcome

Outlook	Annual mm	GS PAW	Wheat est.	Lentil est.
Very Dry D1–D2	<370mm	<303mm	6.0 t/Ha	3.01 t/Ha
Below Avg D3–D4	370–420mm	303–344mm	6.4 t/Ha	3.20 t/Ha
Average D5–D6	420–480mm	344–393mm	7.3 t/Ha	3.66 t/Ha
Good D7–D8	480–540mm	393–442mm	8.3 t/Ha	4.15 t/Ha
Wet D9–D10	>540mm	>442mm	9.1+ t/Ha	4.56+ t/Ha

2026 probabilistic forecast

Linear trend

414mm

10-yr moving avg

432mm

Post-dry-year avg

461mm

Long-run avg

442mm

Consensus

437mm

Mid-season decision framework

May+June total	Season signal	Recommended action
<80mm	Tracking below average	Conserve inputs — reduce variable N
80–130mm	Average season	Standard input programme
>130mm	High potential season	Justify additional N topdress — chase the yield

When May+June exceeds 120mm, average wheat yield is 6.4 t/Ha — 37% above years where May+June is below 80mm (4.7 t/Ha). Track your May+June running total weekly from May 1.

ENSO caveat: This analysis cannot capture ENSO/IOD signals, which dominate SA grain belt rainfall at seasonal timescales. Cross-reference the BoM ENSO Outlook quarterly. La Niña = push forecast higher. El Niño = push lower.

Settings

Change PIN

Set a shared PIN for George and Hugh. Keep it simple — 4 to 6 digits.

Current PIN

New PIN

Confirm new PIN

Season management

Archive the current season and start a new one. Archived seasons are read-only.

Data export

Export all data as a JSON backup file.

Past seasons

Archived seasons are read-only. Click a season to review it in the dashboard and all modules.